Carlos Alcaraz won 6-4 7-6
Nailed it. We had Carlos Alcaraz at 77% before the match, and Carlos Alcaraz won 6-4 7-6.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Carlos Alcaraz goes up against Karen Khachanov in the Vienna round of 32. Carlos Alcaraz comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Karen Khachanov is 6-4 across recent matches.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Khachanov needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Carlos Alcaraz | Karen Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.9% | 71.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.5% | 51.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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