Carlos Alcaraz won 6-1 7-6(11)
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 82% on Carlos Alcaraz, who won 6-1 7-6(11).
Thursday's Vienna round of 16 pits Carlos Alcaraz against Nikoloz Basilashvili on hard. Carlos Alcaraz comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Nikoloz Basilashvili comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Basilashvili comes in off a compressed schedule. Basilashvili needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Carlos Alcaraz | Nikoloz Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64% | 58% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.9% | 68.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.5% | 48.8% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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