Carlos Alcaraz won 6-4 6-4 6-4
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 74% on Carlos Alcaraz, who won 6-4 6-4 6-4.
Carlos Alcaraz and Roman Safiullin meet in the first round at US Open on Monday. Carlos Alcaraz is 7-3 across recent matches. Roman Safiullin is searching for form, having lost 2 in a row (6 of the last 10).
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Alcaraz win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Carlos Alcaraz | Roman Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.1% | 63.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.9% | 72.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.4% | 52.4% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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