Carlos Alcaraz won 6-4 6-3 6-4
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 72% on Carlos Alcaraz, who won 6-4 6-3 6-4.
Sunday's US Open round of 16 pits Carlos Alcaraz against Tommy Paul on hard. Carlos Alcaraz is rolling — 4 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Tommy Paul has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.
Carlos Alcaraz is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Alcaraz around 72%. If Alcaraz plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Carlos Alcaraz | Tommy Paul |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.1% | 61.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.9% | 69.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.4% | 51.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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