Carlos Alcaraz won 6-4 7-6
Nailed it. We had Carlos Alcaraz at 74% before the match, and Carlos Alcaraz won 6-4 7-6.
Carlos Alcaraz and Tommy Paul meet in the quarterfinal at Vienna on Friday. Carlos Alcaraz comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Tommy Paul comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
Carlos Alcaraz is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Alcaraz around 74%. Anything other than a Alcaraz win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Carlos Alcaraz | Tommy Paul |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64% | 61.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.9% | 69.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.5% | 51.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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