Carlos Alcaraz won 6-3 6-4 6-1
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 85% on Carlos Alcaraz, who won 6-3 6-4 6-1.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Carlos Alcaraz goes up against Yibing Wu in the US Open round of 32. Carlos Alcaraz is 7-3 across recent matches. Yibing Wu has won 3 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Alcaraz win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Carlos Alcaraz | Yibing Wu |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64.1% | 60.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.9% | 68.6% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.4% | 52.2% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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