Zizou Bergs won 7-5 7-6(4)
Missed it. We had Carlos Alcaraz at 85%, but Zizou Bergs won 7-5 7-6(4).
Carlos Alcaraz and Zizou Bergs meet in the round of 32 at Shanghai on Monday. Carlos Alcaraz is rolling — 6 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Zizou Bergs is 5-5 across recent matches.
Carlos Alcaraz simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Bergs needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Carlos Alcaraz | Zizou Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 64% | 60.1% |
| 1st serve points won | 69.9% | 72.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 54.5% | 50.1% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.