Friday's Hagen quarterfinal pits Carlos Taberner against Elmer Moller on clay. Carlos Taberner comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Elmer Moller is 7-3 across recent matches.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Taberner comes in off a compressed schedule; Moller comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Taberner fractionally more likely to land the big points.