Casper Ruud and Felix Auger Aliassime meet in the round of 16 at Shanghai on Wednesday. Felix Auger Aliassime is 7-3 across recent matches. Casper Ruud is 7-3 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Aliassime has been winning 75.5% of first-serve points to Ruud's 70.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Aliassime fractionally more likely to land the big points.