French Open · R16 · Clay · best of 5 · May 31, 2026, 8:35 PM UTC

Casper Ruud vs. Joao Fonseca — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 31, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Joao Fonseca won 7-5 7-6 5-7 3-1 · Jun 1, 2026, 3:44 AM UTC

We got this one wrong. Our final number was 51% on Casper Ruud; Joao Fonseca won 7-5 7-6 5-7 3-1.

Sunday's French Open round of 16 pits Casper Ruud against Joao Fonseca on clay. Casper Ruud has won 5 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Joao Fonseca has won 6 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

Joao Fonseca has had the better of this rivalry, winning 1 of 1 against Casper Ruud. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Fonseca — worth more than the overall number this week.

Casper Ruud is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Ruud around 51%. Little separates them; Ruud gets the nod on the finest of margins.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Casper Ruud

1978

Joao Fonseca

1758

Overall rating

Casper Ruud

1930

Joao Fonseca

1904

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Casper Ruud	Joao Fonseca
1st serve in	64.7%	66.2%
1st serve points won	70.4%	71.8%
2nd serve points won	54.4%	53.8%

Form

Casper Ruud

8–2

Joao Fonseca

7–3

Head to head

Joao Fonseca leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Joao Fonseca.

Full Ruud vs Fonseca history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca at French Open?: Joao Fonseca won 7-5 7-6 5-7 3-1.
Was the Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca prediction correct?: We got this one wrong. Our final number was 51% on Casper Ruud; Joao Fonseca won 7-5 7-6 5-7 3-1.
What is the head-to-head record between Casper Ruud and Joao Fonseca?: Joao Fonseca leads the head-to-head 1-0. On clay: 1-0 Joao Fonseca.