A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Casper Ruud goes up against Joao Fonseca in the Montreal round of 32. Joao Fonseca has won 7 of the last 10. Casper Ruud is 7-3 across recent matches.
The ledger favors Joao Fonseca, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Casper Ruud.
Joao Fonseca is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Fonseca around 57%. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Fonseca fractionally more likely to land the big points.