Geneva · SF · Clay · best of 3 · May 22, 2026, 2:10 PM UTC

Casper Ruud vs. Mariano Navone — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 22, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Mariano Navone won 7-5 4-2 · May 22, 2026, 4:10 PM UTC

We got this one wrong. Our final number was 82% on Casper Ruud; Mariano Navone won 7-5 4-2.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Casper Ruud goes up against Mariano Navone in the Geneva semifinal. Casper Ruud is rolling — 3 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Mariano Navone has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.

They have split their 2 previous meetings evenly at 1-1. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Navone — worth more than the overall number this week.

The serve is where this match separates: Ruud has been winning 70.4% of first-serve points to Navone's 62.6%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Ruud comes in off a compressed schedule; Navone comes in off a compressed schedule. If Ruud plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Casper Ruud

1978

Mariano Navone

1769

Overall rating

Casper Ruud

1930

Mariano Navone

1750

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Casper Ruud	Mariano Navone
1st serve in	64.7%	67.2%
1st serve points won	70.4%	62.6%
2nd serve points won	54.4%	49.4%

Form

Casper Ruud

8–2

Mariano Navone

7–3

Head to head

The head-to-head is level at 1-1. On clay: 1-0 Mariano Navone.

Full Ruud vs Navone history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone at Geneva?: Mariano Navone won 7-5 4-2.
Was the Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone prediction correct?: We got this one wrong. Our final number was 82% on Casper Ruud; Mariano Navone won 7-5 4-2.
What is the head-to-head record between Casper Ruud and Mariano Navone?: The head-to-head is level at 1-1. On clay: 1-0 Mariano Navone.