French Open · R32 · Clay · best of 5 · May 29, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC

Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 29, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

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Casper Ruud won 4-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 7-5

Nailed it. We had Casper Ruud at 70% before the match, and Casper Ruud won 4-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 7-5.

Friday's French Open round of 32 pits Casper Ruud against Tommy Paul on clay. Casper Ruud brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Tommy Paul comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Casper Ruud has had the better of this rivalry, winning 4 of 6 against Tommy Paul. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Ruud — worth more than the overall number this week.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Ruud should have enough here, though Paul has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Casper Ruud

2014

Tommy Paul

1955

Overall rating

Casper Ruud

1994

Tommy Paul

2023

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Casper Ruud	Tommy Paul
1st serve in	64.7%	61.9%
1st serve points won	70.4%	69.7%
2nd serve points won	54.4%	50.8%

Form

Casper Ruud

8–2

Tommy Paul

7–3

Head to head

Casper Ruud leads the head-to-head 4-2. On clay: 2-0 Casper Ruud.

Full Ruud vs Paul history →

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul at French Open?: Casper Ruud won 4-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 7-5.
Was the Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul prediction correct?: Nailed it. We had Casper Ruud at 70% before the match, and Casper Ruud won 4-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 7-5.
What is the head-to-head record between Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul?: Casper Ruud leads the head-to-head 4-2. On clay: 2-0 Casper Ruud.