French Open · R32 · Clay · best of 5 · May 29, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC

Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 29, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

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Casper Ruud won 4-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 7-5 · May 29, 2026, 11:32 PM UTC

Graded: correct. Our final pre-match number was 70% on Casper Ruud, and Casper Ruud won 4-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 7-5.

Friday's French Open round of 32 pits Casper Ruud against Tommy Paul on clay. Casper Ruud brings a 4-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Tommy Paul comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

Casper Ruud has had the better of this rivalry, winning 4 of 6 against Tommy Paul. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Ruud — worth more than the overall number this week.

Casper Ruud simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Ruud should have enough here, though Paul has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Casper Ruud

1978

Tommy Paul

1900

Overall rating

Casper Ruud

1930

Tommy Paul

1936

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Casper Ruud	Tommy Paul
1st serve in	64.7%	61.9%
1st serve points won	70.4%	69.7%
2nd serve points won	54.4%	50.8%

Form

Casper Ruud

8–2

Tommy Paul

7–3

Head to head

Casper Ruud leads the head-to-head 4-2. On clay: 2-0 Casper Ruud.

Full Ruud vs Paul history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul at French Open?: Casper Ruud won 4-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 7-5.
Was the Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul prediction correct?: Graded: correct. Our final pre-match number was 70% on Casper Ruud, and Casper Ruud won 4-6 6-7 6-4 7-6 7-5.
What is the head-to-head record between Casper Ruud and Tommy Paul?: Casper Ruud leads the head-to-head 4-2. On clay: 2-0 Casper Ruud.