US Open · R64 · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 2, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC
Caty Mcnally vs. Emma Navarro — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · September 2, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Wednesday's US Open round of 64 pits Caty Mcnally against Emma Navarro on hard. Caty Mcnally is 6-4 across recent matches. Emma Navarro is 5-5 across recent matches.
The ledger favors Emma Navarro, 2-0 across their 2 meetings with Caty Mcnally. On hard specifically it reads 2-0 Navarro — worth more than the overall number this week.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Mcnally gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-111(52.6% Mcnally)
Market+118(45.9% Mcnally)
Sources: Market consensus (average across books). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Caty Mcnally
1714
Emma Navarro
1662
Overall rating
Caty Mcnally
1858
Emma Navarro
1842
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Caty Mcnally
Emma Navarro
1st serve in
68.8%
63.7%
1st serve points won
60.3%
61.9%
2nd serve points won
43.6%
46.3%
Form
Caty Mcnally
6–4
Emma Navarro
5–5
Head to head
Emma Navarro leads the head-to-head 2-0. On hard: 2-0 Emma Navarro.
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Caty Mcnally vs Emma Navarro?
Maiden gives Caty Mcnally a 53% chance to beat Emma Navarro in the US Open round of 64 on September 2, 2026.
How confident is the Caty Mcnally pick?
53% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 53%, picks in that range have won 61% of the time (116 so far). See the track record page for the full table.
What is the head-to-head record between Caty Mcnally and Emma Navarro?
Emma Navarro leads the head-to-head 2-0. On hard: 2-0 Emma Navarro.