Friday's Cincinnati first round pits Caty Mcnally against Mccartney Kessler on hard. Mccartney Kessler is 4-6 across recent matches. Caty Mcnally is 6-4 across recent matches.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Kessler gets the nod on the finest of margins.