Wednesday's Istanbul round of 16 pits Christian Langmo against Maks Kasnikowski on hard. Maks Kasnikowski has won 6 of the last 10. Christian Langmo has won 2 of the last 10.

Maks Kasnikowski is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Kasnikowski around 64%. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Kasnikowski.