Friday's Beijing round of 64 pits Clara Tauson against Polina Kudermetova on hard. Clara Tauson limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Polina Kudermetova is 5-5 across recent matches.

Clara Tauson simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Tauson fractionally more likely to land the big points.