A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Clement Chidekh goes up against David Goffin in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif round of 32. Clement Chidekh has won 6 of the last 10. David Goffin limps in on a 7-match losing skid, just 2 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Chidekh is exactly that — a lean.