Toronto · SF · Hard · best of 3 · Aug 13, 2026, 2:55 AM UTC

Coco Gauff vs. Elena Rybakina — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · August 13, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

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Elena Rybakina won 5-7 6-2 6-2

This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 65% on Elena Rybakina, who won 5-7 6-2 6-2.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Coco Gauff goes up against Elena Rybakina in the Toronto semifinal. Elena Rybakina brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten. Coco Gauff brings a 3-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten.

Rybakina's 70.1% behind the first serve (against 66% for Gauff) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Rybakina comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Rybakina.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Coco Gauff

2033

Elena Rybakina

2165

Overall rating

Coco Gauff

2093

Elena Rybakina

2147

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Coco Gauff	Elena Rybakina
1st serve in	59.3%	57.2%
1st serve points won	66%	70.1%
2nd serve points won	42.3%	46.4%

Form

Coco Gauff

9–1

Elena Rybakina

6–4

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

What Pro unlocks

Frequently asked questions

Who won Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina at Toronto?: Elena Rybakina won 5-7 6-2 6-2.
Was the Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina prediction correct?: This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 65% on Elena Rybakina, who won 5-7 6-2 6-2.