Coco Gauff and Elena Rybakina meet in the semifinal at US Open on Friday. Elena Rybakina has won 9 in a row and 9 of the last 10 overall. Coco Gauff is rolling — 10 straight wins, 10 of 10 in recent play.
The serve is where this match separates: Rybakina has been winning 70% of first-serve points to Gauff's 65.8%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Rybakina should have enough here, though Gauff has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Coco Gauff | Elena Rybakina |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.3% | 57.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.8% | 70% |
| 2nd serve points won | 42.5% | 46.5% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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