A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Coco Gauff goes up against Jessica Pegula in the Wimbledon quarterfinal. Jessica Pegula is rolling — 6 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Coco Gauff has won 6 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.
The ledger favors Jessica Pegula, 5-3 across their 8 meetings with Coco Gauff. On grass they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on grass, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Pegula fractionally more likely to land the big points.