A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Coco Gauff goes up against Taylor Townsend in the French Open first round. Coco Gauff is 8-2 across recent matches. Taylor Townsend has won 5 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Coco Gauff, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Taylor Townsend. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Gauff — worth more than the overall number this week.

Coco Gauff simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Anything other than a Gauff win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.