Coleman Wong and Daniil Medvedev meet in the quarterfinal at Hangzhou on Sunday. Daniil Medvedev is 5-5 across recent matches. Coleman Wong comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Wong comes in off a compressed schedule; Medvedev comes in off a compressed schedule. Wong needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.