A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Coleman Wong goes up against J J Wolf in the Bloomfield Hills round of 16. Coleman Wong has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. J J Wolf comes in at 2 wins from the last ten.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
Coleman Wong is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Wong around 68%. Wong comes in off a compressed schedule; Wolf comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Wong.