It all comes down to Sunday at Guangzhou, where Coleman Wong faces Tristan Schoolkate for the trophy. Coleman Wong is rolling — 3 straight wins, 5 of 10 in recent play. Tristan Schoolkate is 6-4 across recent matches.

Coleman Wong simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Wong comes in off a compressed schedule; Schoolkate comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Wong.