A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Coleman Wong goes up against Yi Zhou in the Guangzhou semifinal. Coleman Wong is 5-5 across recent matches. Yi Zhou is 6-4 across recent matches.

Coleman Wong is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Wong around 64%. Wong comes in off a compressed schedule; Zhou comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Wong — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.