Lincoln · QF · Hard · best of 3 · Jul 17, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC

Colton Smith vs. Y. Bu — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 17, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Y. Bu won 6-7(1) 6-3 6-4 · Jul 18, 2026, 2:09 AM UTC

Missed it — and it stays on the record. We had Colton Smith at 54%, but Y. Bu won 6-7(1) 6-3 6-4.

Friday's Lincoln quarterfinal pits Colton Smith against Y. Bu on hard. Colton Smith comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Y. Bu is 5-5 across recent matches.

There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.

Colton Smith simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Bu comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Smith gets the nod on the finest of margins.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Colton Smith

1724

Y. Bu

1642

Overall rating

Colton Smith

1696

Y. Bu

1651

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Colton Smith	Y. Bu
1st serve in	62.6%	57.2%
1st serve points won	68.6%	72.9%
2nd serve points won	49.3%	48.9%

Form

Colton Smith

8–2

Y. Bu

5–5

Head to head

The head-to-head is level at 0-0.

Full Smith vs Bu history →

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Colton Smith vs Y. Bu at Lincoln?: Y. Bu won 6-7(1) 6-3 6-4.
Was the Colton Smith vs Y. Bu prediction correct?: Missed it — and it stays on the record. We had Colton Smith at 54%, but Y. Bu won 6-7(1) 6-3 6-4.
What is the head-to-head record between Colton Smith and Y. Bu?: The head-to-head is level at 0-0.