Friday's Cincinnati first round pits Corentin Moutet against Hubert Hurkacz on hard. Hubert Hurkacz is 6-4 across recent matches. Corentin Moutet has won 2 of the last 10.
The serve is where this match separates: Hurkacz has been winning 76% of first-serve points to Moutet's 65.3%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Hurkacz.
Sources: Market consensus (average across books). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Corentin Moutet | Hubert Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 66.2% | 63.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.3% | 76% |
| 2nd serve points won | 50.7% | 49.4% |
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