A spot in the next round is at stake on Tuesday, when Corentin Moutet goes up against Nick Kyrgios in the Stuttgart round of 32. Nick Kyrgios comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Corentin Moutet is searching for form, having lost 5 in a row (3 of the last 10).
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
The serve is where this match separates: Kyrgios has been winning 76.4% of first-serve points to Moutet's 65.6%, and on grass that gap compounds fast. Moutet needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Corentin Moutet | Nick Kyrgios |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 66.3% | 66.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.6% | 76.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.3% | 50.8% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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