Wednesday's Montreal round of 64 pits Corentin Moutet against Rafael Jodar on hard. Rafael Jodar is 7-3 across recent matches. Corentin Moutet has dropped 4 straight and sits at 1-9 over the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 69.5% versus 65.3% on first-serve points in Jodar's favor. Moutet needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.