Tuesday's Lyon (France) round of 32 pits Corentin Moutet against Ugo Humbert on clay. Ugo Humbert has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. Corentin Moutet comes in at 2 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 73.1% versus 65.3% on first-serve points in Humbert's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Humbert is exactly that — a lean.