Cristina Bucsa and Darja Vidmanova meet in the round of 16 at Monterrey on Wednesday. Cristina Bucsa has won 2 of the last 10. Darja Vidmanova has won 5 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Bucsa comes in off a compressed schedule; Vidmanova comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Bucsa is exactly that — a lean.