Iva Jovic won 6-4 6-1
Nailed it. We had Iva Jovic at 66% before the match, and Iva Jovic won 6-4 6-1.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Cristina Bucsa goes up against Iva Jovic in the Guadalajara semifinal. Iva Jovic has won 7 of the last 10. Cristina Bucsa has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.
The serve is where this match separates: Jovic has been winning 62.7% of first-serve points to Bucsa's 58.6%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. The edge belongs to Jovic — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Cristina Bucsa | Iva Jovic |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 65.2% | 61.7% |
| 1st serve points won | 58.6% | 62.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 44.1% | 48.6% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksOne email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.