Cristina Bucsa and Maya Joint meet in the round of 16 at Tokyo on Wednesday. Maya Joint is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10). Cristina Bucsa limps in on a 6-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Bucsa comes in off a compressed schedule; Joint comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Joint gets the nod on the finest of margins.