D. Chan and Dane Sweeny meet in the round of 32 at Vancouver on Tuesday. Dane Sweeny has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten. D. Chan is 1-9 across recent matches.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

Dane Sweeny simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Sweeny gets the nod on the finest of margins.