A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Dalibor Svrcina goes up against Luciano Darderi in the US Open round of 64. Luciano Darderi is 6-4 across recent matches. Dalibor Svrcina is 4-6 across recent matches.
The serve is where this match separates: Darderi has been winning 70.2% of first-serve points to Svrcina's 63.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Little separates them; Darderi gets the nod on the finest of margins.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Dalibor Svrcina | Luciano Darderi |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.7% | 58.6% |
| 1st serve points won | 63.1% | 70.2% |
| 2nd serve points won | 45.1% | 52% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.