US Open · R128 · Hard · best of 5 · Aug 31, 2026, 6:25 PM UTC
Dalibor Svrcina vs. Valentin Royer — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · August 31, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Dalibor Svrcina goes up against Valentin Royer in the US Open first round. Valentin Royer brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 6-4 across the last ten. Dalibor Svrcina has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Royer fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-111(52.6% Royer)
Market-100(50.1% Royer)
Sources: . These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Dalibor Svrcina
1774
Valentin Royer
1715
Overall rating
Dalibor Svrcina
1713
Valentin Royer
1777
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Dalibor Svrcina
Valentin Royer
1st serve in
62.9%
81.7%
1st serve points won
63%
26.1%
2nd serve points won
44.8%
51.2%
Form
Dalibor Svrcina
4–6
Valentin Royer
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Dalibor Svrcina vs Valentin Royer?
Maiden gives Valentin Royer a 53% chance to beat Dalibor Svrcina in the US Open first round on August 31, 2026.
How confident is the Valentin Royer pick?
53% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 53%, picks in that range have won 52% of the time (192 so far). See the track record page for the full table.