Damir Dzumhur and Dimitar Kuzmanov meet in the round of 16 at Olbia on Thursday. Damir Dzumhur has won 5 of the last 10. Dimitar Kuzmanov has won 6 of the last 10.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Dzumhur comes in off a compressed schedule; Kuzmanov comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Dzumhur fractionally more likely to land the big points.