Monday's US Open first round pits Damir Dzumhur against Hubert Hurkacz on hard. Hubert Hurkacz is rolling — 4 straight wins, 8 of 10 in recent play. Damir Dzumhur is 6-4 across recent matches.
Hurkacz's 76% behind the first serve (against 64.9% for Dzumhur) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Hurkacz.