A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Damir Dzumhur goes up against Matteo Arnaldi in the Umag quarterfinal. Matteo Arnaldi has dropped 2 straight and sits at 8-2 over the last ten. Damir Dzumhur is 3-7 across recent matches.
The ledger favors Matteo Arnaldi, 1-0 across their 1 meetings with Damir Dzumhur. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Arnaldi — worth more than the overall number this week.
Arnaldi's 70.4% behind the first serve (against 65.4% for Dzumhur) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Arnaldi — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Damir Dzumhur | Matteo Arnaldi |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 65.3% | 58.5% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.4% | 70.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.6% | 50.2% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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