Damir Dzumhur and Tom Gentzsch meet in the quarterfinal at Olbia on Friday. Tom Gentzsch comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Damir Dzumhur is 5-5 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Gentzsch has been winning 72.7% of first-serve points to Dzumhur's 64.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Dzumhur comes in off a compressed schedule; Gentzsch comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Gentzsch is exactly that — a lean.