Thursday's Jingshan round of 16 pits Dane Sweeny against Petr Bar Biryukov on hard. Dane Sweeny limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Petr Bar Biryukov is 4-6 across recent matches.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Sweeny comes in off a compressed schedule; Biryukov comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Sweeny is exactly that — a lean.