Thursday's Jingshan round of 16 pits Dane Sweeny against Petr Bar Biryukov on hard. Dane Sweeny limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Petr Bar Biryukov is 4-6 across recent matches.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Sweeny comes in off a compressed schedule; Biryukov comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Sweeny is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Dane Sweeny | Petr Bar Biryukov |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.7% | 60% |
| 1st serve points won | 65.9% | 74.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.6% | 47.8% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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