Shintaro Mochizuki won 6-3 7-6
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 56% on Shintaro Mochizuki, who won 6-3 7-6.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Dane Sweeny goes up against Shintaro Mochizuki in the Jinan round of 16. Shintaro Mochizuki has won 4 of the last 10. Dane Sweeny has won 4 of the last 10.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Mochizuki comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Mochizuki is exactly that — a lean.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Dane Sweeny | Shintaro Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.9% | 53.1% |
| 1st serve points won | 66% | 67.8% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.8% | 46.5% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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