Daniel Altmaier and Jiri Lehecka meet in the round of 16 at Basel on Thursday. Jiri Lehecka is 7-3 across recent matches. Daniel Altmaier has won 5 of the last 10.

Jiri Lehecka is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Lehecka around 76%. Anything other than a Lehecka win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.