Daniel Altmaier and Titouan Droguet meet in the round of 32 at Lyon (France) on Tuesday. Titouan Droguet is rolling — 5 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Daniel Altmaier has won 4 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Droguet is exactly that — a lean.