Hamburg · QF · Clay · best of 3 · May 21, 2026, 3:20 PM UTC

Daniel Altmaier vs. Tommy Paul — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 21, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

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Tommy Paul won 6-2 7-5 · May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM UTC

Graded: correct. Our final pre-match number was 55% on Tommy Paul, and Tommy Paul won 6-2 7-5.

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Daniel Altmaier goes up against Tommy Paul in the Hamburg quarterfinal. Tommy Paul has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Daniel Altmaier is 5-5 across recent matches.

Tommy Paul has had the better of this rivalry, winning 2 of 2 against Daniel Altmaier. On clay specifically it reads 1-0 Paul — worth more than the overall number this week.

Tommy Paul is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Paul around 55%. Little separates them; Paul gets the nod on the finest of margins.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Daniel Altmaier

1636

Tommy Paul

1900

Overall rating

Daniel Altmaier

1672

Tommy Paul

1936

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Daniel Altmaier	Tommy Paul
1st serve in	61.3%	61.9%
1st serve points won	70.7%	69.7%
2nd serve points won	48.5%	50.8%

Form

Daniel Altmaier

5–5

Tommy Paul

7–3

Head to head

Tommy Paul leads the head-to-head 2-0. On clay: 1-0 Tommy Paul.

Full Altmaier vs Paul history →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Daniel Altmaier vs Tommy Paul at Hamburg?: Tommy Paul won 6-2 7-5.
Was the Daniel Altmaier vs Tommy Paul prediction correct?: Graded: correct. Our final pre-match number was 55% on Tommy Paul, and Tommy Paul won 6-2 7-5.
What is the head-to-head record between Daniel Altmaier and Tommy Paul?: Tommy Paul leads the head-to-head 2-0. On clay: 1-0 Tommy Paul.