US Open · R128 · Hard · best of 5 · Sep 2, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC
Daniel Altmaier vs. Zachary Svajda — preview and prediction
By The Maiden Desk · September 2, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Daniel Altmaier goes up against Zachary Svajda in the US Open first round. Daniel Altmaier comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Zachary Svajda is searching for form, having lost 4 in a row (4 of the last 10).
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Altmaier fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Our number vs the market
Maiden-101(50.4% Altmaier)
Market+139(41.9% Altmaier)
Sources: Market consensus (average across books). These are the odds converted to a %, with no juice taken out.
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Daniel Altmaier
1688
Zachary Svajda
1658
Overall rating
Daniel Altmaier
1806
Zachary Svajda
1785
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Daniel Altmaier
Zachary Svajda
1st serve in
61%
60.8%
1st serve points won
70.9%
71.3%
2nd serve points won
48.3%
49.7%
Form
Daniel Altmaier
5–5
Zachary Svajda
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
Who is predicted to win Daniel Altmaier vs Zachary Svajda?
Maiden gives Daniel Altmaier a 50% chance to beat Zachary Svajda in the US Open first round on September 2, 2026.
How confident is the Daniel Altmaier pick?
50% is a “Lean” tier pick. When we make a pick around 50%, picks in that range have won 52% of the time (201 so far). See the track record page for the full table.