Monday's Cali round of 32 pits Daniel Elahi Galan against Juan Pablo Varillas on clay. Juan Pablo Varillas has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Daniel Elahi Galan has won 5 of the last 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Varillas is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Daniel Elahi Galan | Juan Pablo Varillas |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 61.9% | 59.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 67.4% | 68.5% |
| 2nd serve points won | 47.3% | 49.5% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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