Monday's Cali round of 32 pits Daniel Elahi Galan against Juan Pablo Varillas on clay. Juan Pablo Varillas has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Daniel Elahi Galan has won 5 of the last 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Varillas is exactly that — a lean.