Tuesday's Bonn round of 32 pits Daniel Elahi Galan against Pavel Kotov on clay. Pavel Kotov comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Daniel Elahi Galan has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten.

Pavel Kotov is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Kotov around 59%. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kotov is exactly that — a lean.