A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Daniel Evans goes up against Marcos Giron in the London semifinal. Marcos Giron comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Daniel Evans has won 6 of the last 10.

Daniel Evans leads the head-to-head 2-1, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Giron.